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Introduction to SOLPREDS

SOLPREDS is a decentralized prediction market platform built on Solana. It combines short-term price prediction rounds with permissionless community-created markets — giving anyone the ability to trade on outcomes or create their own markets and earn from them.

Two Products, One Platform

🎯 Prediction Rounds

Available at solpreds.fun/solana (mainnet) and devnet.solpreds.fun/solana (devnet).

Bet on whether SOL/USD will go UP or DOWN in 5-minute windows. Rounds run continuously, payouts are automatic, and outcomes are determined by the Pyth Network price oracle — no human intervention.

🌐 Community Markets

Available at solpreds.fun.

A permissionless prediction market where anyone can create a market on any topic — crypto, sports, politics, or anything else. Users trade outcome shares powered by SOLPREDS' custom bonding curve AMM. Creators earn 1% of trading fees and 1% of the final liquidity jackpot when a market resolves.

Beta Notice

Community Markets currently runs on virtual SOL balances during beta. Real funds are not at risk while the system is being tested.

Why SOLPREDS?

🚀 Built on Solana

Sub-second transactions and minimal fees (~$0.00001 per transaction) make high-frequency prediction trading practical for everyone.

🔒 Fully Transparent

All bets and trades are recorded on-chain and verifiable on Solana Explorer. No centralized control over outcomes.

🎲 Fair & Automated

Pyth Network oracle pricing, automatic round settlements, and staking-based decentralized market validation mean no human can manipulate results.

💰 Creator Economy

Anyone can launch a market and earn from it. SOLPREDS is the only prediction market platform where permissionless market creation comes with built-in revenue sharing for creators.

🤝 Referral System

A 5-level referral program works across both Prediction Rounds and Community Markets. Share your link and earn from every bet placed by users you bring in.

The SOLPREDS Bonding Curve

Most prediction markets use order books — you need someone on the other side of your trade before anything executes. SOLPREDS takes a different approach, merging a traditional AMM (the same concept powering Uniswap) with a prediction market using a dynamic virtual base bonding curve.

Think of it as Pump.fun meets Polymarket.

How It Works

The price of any outcome share is determined by: 

price = (b + shares) / (N × b + totalShares)

Where: - b = dynamic virtual base (starts at a set value, adjusts with volume) - shares = shares held for a specific outcome (e.g., YES) - N = number of outcomes (2 for binary YES/NO, more for multiple choice) - totalShares = sum of all shares across all outcomes

The Key Innovation: Dynamic Virtual Base

The dynamic virtual base (b) acts as synthetic liquidity — you don't need real money in the pool for the market to function. This means:

  • Zero liquidity needed upfront — anyone can create a market and the very first trade gets instant execution at a fair price
  • Early price discovery — early traders move prices significantly, reflecting genuine sentiment
  • Natural stability — as volume grows, the base adjusts so later trades have less price impact and less slippage
  • Mathematical fairness — all outcome prices always sum to 100%, guaranteed by the formula

This design removes the biggest barrier to permissionless prediction markets: the cold start problem. No market maker, no seed liquidity, no waiting. A market works from the very first trade.

Key Concepts

Prediction Round: A 5-minute window where users bet on SOL price direction (UP or DOWN)

Community Market: A user-created binary or multiple-choice market on any topic

Lock Price: The price when betting closes in a Prediction Round

Close Price: The final price that determines winners in a Prediction Round

Payout Multiplier: Your potential winnings based on pool distribution

Dynamic Virtual Base: The synthetic liquidity mechanism that enables zero-liquidity market creation

Market Creator: Anyone who deploys a Community Market and earns fees from it

$SOLPREDS Token: The native platform token used for governance, staking for market validation, and fee reductions

Getting Started

Play Prediction Rounds

  1. Set up a Solana wallet
  2. Place your first bet
  3. Claim your winnings

Try on Devnet First

  1. Set up a Solana wallet
  2. Get free devnet SOL
  3. Place your first bet

Build a Bot

Check out the Developer Quickstart to start trading programmatically via the API.

Learn More